The moderators of last night’s ABC debate demonstrated why it’s a bad idea to fact check live in a debate.
▪️When a moderator fact checks, it gives the implicit notion to the audience that anything not fact checked is truthful. They become the arbiter of truth, which is not their role. Their role is to facilitate a civil and substantive debate.
▪️Fact checking invariably brings bias. What to fact check and how often? Many things politicians say are either false or on a spectrum of misleading, missing context, etc. Tasking a moderator to fairly police this is nearly impossible. In practice they’ll just stick to what stands out as false to them, which will be biased. That’s what happened last night.
▪️Fact checking is often complex. This was briefly shown in the exchange with Trump and the moderators over crime. What sort of crime are you referring to (violent crime, property crime, etc.)? Which cities or states? What time frame are we referring to, over the past year? Since 2020? FBI stats are limited by what local authorities report, so what are they actually telling us? In general, crime has fallen over the past couple years, but is still up since 2020, and in certain locales violent crime and thefts are up dramatically and haven’t declined. Moderators cannot and should not be parsing through this.
▪️Most fact checks cannot be done on the spot, you need to check sources and do research. On the spot fact checks rely on memory and the limited knowledge the moderators have. Which means they are also highly influenced by bias.
▪️So what to do when politicians shamelessly lie during a debate? It’s their opponent’s job to fact check and correct them! That’s why it’s a debate. If they are unable to do this effectively, then they’re bad at debating. But it’s not the moderator’s job. The moderator’s job is to allow each side a chance to get their voices heard and respond to their opponent.
It’s bizarre to see them seesaw back and forth that Trump is totally clueless and aloof, just golfing all day, then all of a sudden he’s a dangerous king/dictator who’s diligently plotting to seize absolute power.
▪️This one is frustrating because, while it’s nice to see the vigor and speed that DOGE is acting with, they’re also sloppy with some of their findings. This is not some bombshell, millions of dead people’s SS numbers aren’t being paid out to fraudsters.
▪️This problem has been known for some time, you can read an inspector general’s report from 2015 about millions of names on the SS “numident” not being correctly annotated for deaths, even though they were older than 112 (the oldest known American at the time).
https://oig-files.ssa.gov/audits/full/A-06-14-34030_0.pdf
▪️There are innocent explanations for some of these. Expatriates that died outside the country, for example. Or immigrants given temporary work permit who returned to their country, people issued new numbers for various reasons, etc. However, most are simply due to the govt not diligently keeping track of deaths.
▪️It’s embarrassing that the govt has millions of numbers on the numident that are ...